MIN @ BUF – Week 10 2022

BUF C-tier pick misses. MIN takes it.

Model picked BUF but MIN won. Projected margin was 2.2 -- the model overestimated by 5.2 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 9.5 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.