2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PHI @ DET – Week 8 2021
PHI
DET
PHI
AWAY
44@6
PHI +38
FINAL · WEEK 8
2021 SEASON
DET
HOME
TIER C
PICK: PHI
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: PHI 55%Projected margin: -1.9
PHI
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
-1.9
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PHI. Projected margin: 1.9. Actual: 38. Off by 36.1 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 35.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +151 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PHI
Divisional 1-4 ATS (20%)Home Underdog 1-4 ATS (20%)
DET
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
PHI
Jalen Hurts
QB
312.2SEASON PPR
DeVonta Smith
WR
185.6SEASON PPR
Dallas Goedert
TE
165.0SEASON PPR
DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR
227.3SEASON PPR
D'Andre Swift
RB
208.9SEASON PPR
Jared Goff
QB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET@PHIW11 2025 | DET 9, PHI 16 | PHI | W |
| PHI@DETW1 2022 | PHI 38, DET 35 | PHI | W |
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES