2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PHI @ DET – Week 1 2022
PHI
DET
PHI
AWAY
38@35
PHI +3
FINAL · WEEK 1
2022 SEASON
DET
HOME
TIER B
PICK: PHI
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: PHI 68%Projected margin: -4.0
PHI
PICK SIDE
-6.0
SPREAD
-4.0
PROJ MARGIN
-237
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected PHI by 4.0. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 1.0 points of the real margin.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 3.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.0 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -237 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -240 | Won · +$0.42 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PHI
Road Favorite 2-5 ATS (29%)
DET
Divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)Home Underdog 4-1 ATS (80%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
PHI
Jalen Hurts
QB
378.0SEASON PPR
A.J. Brown
WR
299.6SEASON PPR
DeVonta Smith
WR
256.6SEASON PPR
DET
Jared Goff
QB
284.3SEASON PPR
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR
267.6SEASON PPR
Jamaal Williams
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 1
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET@PHIW11 2025 | DET 9, PHI 16 | PHI | W |
| PHI@DETW8 2021 | PHI 44, DET 6 | PHI | W |
WEEK 1 · OTHER GAMES