2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CLE @ CAR – Week 1 2022
CLE
CAR
CLE
AWAY
26@24
CLE +2
FINAL · WEEK 1
2022 SEASON
CAR
HOME
TIER B
PICK: CLE
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: CLE 67%Projected margin: -3.0
CLE
PICK SIDE
+2.5
SPREAD
-3.0
PROJ MARGIN
+143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CLE B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected CLE by 3.0. Actual: 2 points. The model was within 1.0 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 11 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 4.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +2.5 | CLE market line | |
| MODEL ML | +143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +114 | Won · +$1.43 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CLE
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
CAR
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Home Underdog 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
CLE
Nick Chubb
RB
281.4SEASON PPR
Amari Cooper
WR
246.0SEASON PPR
Jacoby Brissett
QB
168.6SEASON PPR
CAR
DJ Moore
WR
199.1SEASON PPR
D'Onta Foreman
RB
131.0SEASON PPR
Christian McCaffrey
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 1
WEEK 1 · OTHER GAMES