2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
JAX @ WAS – Week 1 2022
JAX
WAS
JAX
AWAY
22@28
WAS +6
FINAL · WEEK 1
2022 SEASON
WAS
HOME
TIER B
PICK: WAS
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: WAS 65%Projected margin: 5.4
WAS
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
5.4
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
WAS B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected WAS by 5.4. Actual: 6 points. The model was within 0.6 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 3.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | WAS market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -159 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
JAX
No noteworthy trends
WAS
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
JAX
Trevor Lawrence
QB
295.6SEASON PPR
Christian Kirk
WR
241.9SEASON PPR
Travis Etienne
RB
205.1SEASON PPR
WAS
Terry McLaurin
WR
229.0SEASON PPR
Curtis Samuel
WR
176.3SEASON PPR
Antonio Gibson
INJURY REPORTWEEK 1
WEEK 1 · OTHER GAMES