2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
BUF @ LA – Week 1 2022
BUF
LA
BUF
AWAY
31@10
BUF +21
FINAL · WEEK 1
2022 SEASON
LA
HOME
TIER B
PICK: BUF
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: BUF 62%Projected margin: -1.0
BUF
PICK SIDE
-1.0
SPREAD
-1.0
PROJ MARGIN
-115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
BUF B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked BUF. Projected margin: 1.0. Actual: 21. Off by 20.0 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 20.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.0 | BUF market line | |
| MODEL ML | -115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -117 | Won · +$0.87 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
BUF
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
LA
Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
BUF
Josh Allen
QB
395.5SEASON PPR
Stefon Diggs
WR
316.6SEASON PPR
Devin Singletary
RB
177.9SEASON PPR
LA
Cooper Kupp
WR
201.4SEASON PPR
Tyler Higbee
TE
152.0SEASON PPR
Cam Akers
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 1
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF@LAW14 2024 | BUF 42, LA 44 | BUF | L |
| LA@BUFW3 2020 | LA 32, BUF 35 | LA | L |
WEEK 1 · OTHER GAMES