2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DEN @ SEA – Week 1 2022
DEN
SEA
DEN
AWAY
16@17
SEA +1
FINAL · WEEK 1
2022 SEASON
SEA
HOME
TIER B
PICK: SEA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: SEA 62%Projected margin: 4.6
SEA
PICK SIDE
+6.0
SPREAD
4.6
PROJ MARGIN
+237
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 4.6. Actual: 1. Off by 3.6 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 7.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +6.0 | SEA market line | |
| MODEL ML | +237 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +221 | Won · +$2.37 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DEN
No noteworthy trends
SEA
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
DEN
Russell Wilson
QB
225.8SEASON PPR
Jerry Jeudy
WR
204.2SEASON PPR
Courtland Sutton
WR
159.4SEASON PPR
SEA
Geno Smith
QB
303.9SEASON PPR
Tyler Lockett
WR
239.3SEASON PPR
DK Metcalf
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 1
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN@SEAW1 2024 | DEN 20, SEA 26 | SEA | W |
WEEK 1 · OTHER GAMES