NFL WEEK 1 2022 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
16 GAMESUPDATED JUL 4, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
NoPunt went 10-5-1 straight up in Week 1 2022.
The most confident pick, the Tennessee Titans at 75%, lost 20-21.
Our most confident Week 1 pick is the Tennessee Titans over the New York Giants, at 75% win probability.
No game on the Week 1 slate is a coin flip; every pick clears 55% win probability.
Before kickoff
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WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Tennessee Titans at 75% win probability lost 20-21.
The C-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 2-2 (50%) against a 58% all-time rate.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 1 2022 pick is the Tennessee Titans over the New York Giants, at 75% win probability.
No game in Week 1 2022 is a coin flip on our model; every pick clears 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 1, 2022, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
NoPunt went 10-5-1 straight up in Week 1 2022.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Tennessee Titans at 75% win probability lost 20-21. The C-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 2-2 (50%) against a 58% all-time rate.