2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
WAS @ HOU – Week 11 2022
WAS
HOU
WAS
AWAY
23@10
WAS +13
FINAL · WEEK 11
2022 SEASON
HOU
HOME
TIER B
PICK: WAS
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: WAS 68%Projected margin: -5.3
WAS
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
-5.3
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
WAS B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked WAS. Projected margin: 5.3. Actual: 13. Off by 7.7 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 10.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | WAS market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -150 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
WAS
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
HOU
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 3-5 ATS (38%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
WAS
Terry McLaurin
WR
229.0SEASON PPR
Curtis Samuel
WR
176.3SEASON PPR
Antonio Gibson
RB
165.9SEASON PPR
HOU
Davis Mills
QB
181.5SEASON PPR
Dameon Pierce
RB
166.4SEASON PPR
Brandin Cooks
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 11
WEEK 11 · OTHER GAMES