Chargers vs Raiders – Week 14 2026
LAC
LV
LAC
AWAY
@
SUN 4:05 PM
WEEK 14 · 2026 SEASON
Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV
LV
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Raiders over the Chargers at 61% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: LV 61%Our line: LV -3.7
80% range around our line: LAC by 14 to LV by 21. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the LV game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
LV —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
LV -3.7
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
LV · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
61%
LV · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
33%
DIFFERENCE
+28%
| SPORTSBOOK | LAC | LV | LV WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -225 | +185 | 32.9% |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 14 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.150Net EPA / play-0.001
-0.207 (32)Offense EPA / play+0.004 (14)
-0.057 (6)Defense EPA / play+0.005 (19)
37.8% (29)Offense success %42.6% (17)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: LV at 61%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
LV generates 0.004 EPA/play on offense. LAC's defense allows -0.057. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
DRIVE EFF
LV scores 1.8 points per drive vs 1.1 for LAC. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
Net-positive signal profile for LV. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LV@LACW2 2026 | LV 26, LAC 14 | LAC | L |
| LV@LACW13 2025 | LV 14, LAC 31 | LAC | W |
| LAC@LVW2 2025 | LAC 20, LV 9 | LAC | W |
| LAC@LVW18 2024 | LAC 34, LV 20 | LAC | W |
| LV@LACW1 2024 | LV 10, LAC 22 | LV | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSLAC vs LV
Our model takes Las Vegas Raiders at 61% win probability. The margin models project LV by 3.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Las Vegas Raiders at 61% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 14 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Las Vegas Raiders, LV 26, LAC 14 in Week 2 of 2026.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Las Vegas Raiders: LAC -0.150 against LV -0.001.
