LAC @ LV – Week 14 2026
LAC
LV
LAC
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 4:05 PM
WEEK 14 · 2026 SEASON
LV
HOME
Model confidence: LAC 72%Projected margin: -5.3
LAC
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-5.3
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.059Net EPA / play-0.240
-0.024Offense EPA / play-0.215
-0.083Defense EPA / play+0.024
43.1%Offense success %37.6%
41.4%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: LAC at 72%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
LAC generates -0.024 EPA/play on offense. LV's defense allows 0.024. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
H2H EDGE
LAC has won 4 of the last 5 meetings against LV.
RED ZONE
LAC converts 79% in the red zone vs 61% for LV. That efficiency gap matters in close games.
Multiple signals align in LAC's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | LAC market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
LAC
J.Herbert
QB
286.9SEASON PPR
K.Allen
WR
182.7SEASON PPR
L.McConkey
WR
180.9SEASON PPR
LV
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Los Angeles ChargersPASSING
J.Herbert3727 yd · 26 TD · 13 INT
RUSHING
K.Vidal643 yd · 3 TD
O.Hampton545 yd · 4 TD
J.Herbert498 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
L.McConkey66 rec · 789 yd · 6 TD
K.Allen81 rec · 777 yd · 4 TD
Q.Johnston51 rec · 735 yd · 8 TD
O.Gadsden49 rec · 664 yd · 3 TD
VS
3,727PASSyds3,025
1,686RUSH
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LV@LACW2 2026 | — | LAC | — |
| LV@LACW13 2025 | LV 14, LAC 31 | LAC | W |
| LAC@LVW2 2025 | LAC 20, LV 9 | LAC | W |
| LAC@LVW18 2024 | LAC 34, LV 20 | LAC | W |
| LV@LACW1 2024 | LV 10, LAC 22 | LV | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSLAC vs LV
Who is favored in Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders?
Our model takes Los Angeles Chargers at 72% win probability. The margin models project LAC by 5.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Los Angeles Chargers and Las Vegas Raiders play?
Week 14 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Who won the last Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders game?
Los Angeles Chargers, 14-31 in Week 13 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Los Angeles Chargers or the Las Vegas Raiders?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Los Angeles Chargers: LAC +0.059 against LV -0.240.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
