KC @ CIN – Week 14 2026
KC
CIN
KC
AWAY
@
SUN 4:25 PM
WEEK 14 · 2026 SEASON
CIN
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: CIN 69%Projected margin: -4.0
CIN
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-4.0
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.055Net EPA / play-0.138
+0.035Offense EPA / play-0.009
-0.020Defense EPA / play+0.130
44.5%Offense success %45.5%
43.6%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
CIN is our early forecast in KC @ CIN (Week 14, 2026). The model assigns 68.5% confidence and projects CIN by 4.0. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | CIN market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
KC
P.Mahomes
QB
285.7SEASON PPR
T.Kelce
TE
193.2SEASON PPR
R.Rice
WR
150.1SEASON PPR
CIN
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Kansas City ChiefsPASSING
P.Mahomes3587 yd · 22 TD · 11 INT
RUSHING
K.Hunt611 yd · 8 TD
I.Pacheco462 yd · 1 TD
P.Mahomes422 yd · 5 TD
RECEIVING
T.Kelce76 rec · 851 yd · 5 TD
M.Brown49 rec · 587 yd · 5 TD
R.Rice53 rec · 571 yd · 5 TD
X.Worthy42 rec · 532 yd · 1 TD
VS
3,587PASSyds1,809
1,495RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 4 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN@KCW2 2024 | CIN 25, KC 26 | KC | W |
| CIN@KCW17 2023 | CIN 17, KC 25 | KC | W |
| KC@CINW13 2022 | KC 24, CIN 27 | KC | L |
| KC@CINW17 2021 | KC 31, CIN 34 | KC | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSKC vs CIN
Who is favored in Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals?
Our model takes Cincinnati Bengals at 69% win probability. The margin models project CIN by 4.0. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Kansas City Chiefs and Cincinnati Bengals play?
Week 14 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:25 PM.
Who won the last Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals game?
Kansas City Chiefs, 25-26 in Week 2 of 2024.
Which team has been better, the Kansas City Chiefs or the Cincinnati Bengals?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Kansas City Chiefs: KC +0.055 against CIN -0.138.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
