CLE @ ATL – Week 4 2022

CLE B-tier pick misses. ATL takes it.

Model picked CLE but ATL won. Projected margin was 2.3 -- the model overestimated by 5.3 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 12 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 4.0 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.