2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SEA @ DET – Week 4 2022
SEA
DET
SEA
AWAY
48@45
SEA +3
FINAL · WEEK 4
2022 SEASON
DET
HOME
TIER C
PICK: SEA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: SEA 60%Projected margin: -2.4
SEA
PICK SIDE
+3.0
SPREAD
-2.4
PROJ MARGIN
+154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected SEA by 2.4. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 0.6 points of the real margin.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 6.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +3.0 | SEA market line | |
| MODEL ML | +154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -169 | Won · +$1.54 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SEA
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
DET
Divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)Home Underdog 4-1 ATS (80%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
SEA
Geno Smith
QB
303.9SEASON PPR
Tyler Lockett
WR
239.3SEASON PPR
DK Metcalf
WR
226.8SEASON PPR
DET
Jared Goff
QB
284.3SEASON PPR
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR
267.6SEASON PPR
Jamaal Williams
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 4
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@DETW4 2024 | SEA 29, DET 42 | DET | W |
| SEA@DETW2 2023 | SEA 37, DET 31 | DET | L |
| DET@SEAW17 2021 | DET 29, SEA 51 | SEA | W |
WEEK 4 · OTHER GAMES