2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SEA @ DET – Week 2 2023
SEA
DET
SEA
AWAY
37@31
SEA +6
FINAL · WEEK 2
2023 SEASON
DET
HOME
TIER B
PICK: DET
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: DET 70%Projected margin: 5.0
DET
PICK SIDE
-4.5
SPREAD
5.0
PROJ MARGIN
-191
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DET B-tier pick misses. SEA takes it.
MISSED
Model picked DET but SEA won. Projected margin was 5.0 -- the model overestimated by 11.0 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 10.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.5 | DET market line | |
| MODEL ML | -191 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -218 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SEA
No noteworthy trends
DET
Road Favorite 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
SEA
Geno Smith
QB
227.3SEASON PPR
DK Metcalf
WR
225.4SEASON PPR
Tyler Lockett
WR
202.4SEASON PPR
DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR
330.9SEASON PPR
Jared Goff
QB
289.1SEASON PPR
Jahmyr Gibbs
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@DETW4 2024 | SEA 29, DET 42 | DET | W |
| SEA@DETW4 2022 | SEA 48, DET 45 | SEA | W |
| DET@SEAW17 2021 | DET 29, SEA 51 | SEA | W |
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES