2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
WAS @ DEN – Week 2 2023
WAS
DEN
WAS
AWAY
35@33
WAS +2
FINAL · WEEK 2
2023 SEASON
DEN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: WAS
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: WAS 66%Projected margin: -4.0
WAS
PICK SIDE
+4.0
SPREAD
-4.0
PROJ MARGIN
+178
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
WAS B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected WAS by 4.0. Actual: 2 points. The model was within 2.0 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 6.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +4.0 | WAS market line | |
| MODEL ML | +178 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +164 | Won · +$1.78 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
WAS
Divisional 1-4 ATS (20%)Home Underdog 0-4 ATS (0%)
DEN
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
WAS
Sam Howell
QB
257.5SEASON PPR
Terry McLaurin
WR
203.2SEASON PPR
Brian Robinson
RB
198.1SEASON PPR
DEN
Russell Wilson
QB
256.9SEASON PPR
Courtland Sutton
WR
190.2SEASON PPR
Javonte Williams
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN@WASW13 2025 | DEN 27, WAS 26 | DEN | W |
| WAS@DENW8 2021 | WAS 10, DEN 17 | WAS | L |
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES