2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYJ @ DAL – Week 2 2023
NYJ
DAL
NYJ
AWAY
10@30
DAL +20
FINAL · WEEK 2
2023 SEASON
DAL
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: DAL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DAL 76%Projected margin: 8.0
DAL
PICK SIDE
-8.5
SPREAD
8.0
PROJ MARGIN
-340
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DAL A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DAL. Projected margin: 8.0. Actual: 20. Off by 12.0 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 11.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -8.5 | DAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -340 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -380 | Won · +$0.29 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYJ
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
DAL
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Road Favorite 4-1 ATS (80%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
RETRACTABLE
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
NYJ
Breece Hall
RB
290.5SEASON PPR
Garrett Wilson
WR
213.2SEASON PPR
Tyler Conklin
TE
123.1SEASON PPR
DAL
CeeDee Lamb
WR
403.2SEASON PPR
Dak Prescott
QB
342.8SEASON PPR
Tony Pollard
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@NYJW5 2025 | DAL 37, NYJ 22 | DAL | W |
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES