2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
MIN @ PHI – Week 2 2023
MIN
PHI
MIN
AWAY
28@34
PHI +6
FINAL · WEEK 2
2023 SEASON
PHI
HOME
TIER C
PICK: PHI
PICK WONATS PUSH
Model confidence: PHI 61%Projected margin: 2.2
PHI
PICK SIDE
-6.0
SPREAD
2.2
PROJ MARGIN
-237
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
PUSH
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PHI. Projected margin: 2.2. Actual: 6. Off by 3.8 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
PUSH
Final margin landed exactly on the spread (+6.0). Push -- no winner ATS.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.0 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -237 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -238 | Won · +$0.42 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
MIN
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
PHI
Divisional 1-4 ATS (20%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
MIN
Jordan Addison
WR
221.3SEASON PPR
T.J. Hockenson
TE
219.0SEASON PPR
Justin Jefferson
WR
202.2SEASON PPR
PHI
Jalen Hurts
QB
356.8SEASON PPR
A.J. Brown
WR
289.6SEASON PPR
DeVonta Smith
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@MINW7 2025 | PHI 28, MIN 22 | PHI | W |
| MIN@PHIW2 2022 | MIN 7, PHI 24 | PHI | W |
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES