2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PHI @ MIN – Week 7 2025
PHI
MIN
PHI
AWAY
28@22
PHI +6
FINAL · WEEK 7
2025 SEASON
MIN
HOME
TIER C
PICK: PHI
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: PHI 59%Projected margin: 0.2
PHI
PICK SIDE
-2.5
SPREAD
0.2
PROJ MARGIN
-143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PHI. Projected margin: 0.2. Actual: 6. Off by 6.2 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 3.5 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.5 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.70 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
MIN
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
PHI
J.Hurts
QB
301.1SEASON PPR
S.Barkley
RB
232.3SEASON PPR
A.Brown
WR
220.3SEASON PPR
MIN
J.Jefferson
WR
201.5SEASON PPR
J.Addison
WR
135.1SEASON PPR
J.Mason
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN@PHIW2 2023 | MIN 28, PHI 34 | PHI | W |
| MIN@PHIW2 2022 | MIN 7, PHI 24 | PHI | W |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES