Vikings vs Eagles – Week 2 2022
MIN
PHI
MIN
AWAY
7@24
PHI BY 17
FINAL · WEEK 2
2022 SEASON
Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA
PHI
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Minnesota Vikings 7, Philadelphia Eagles 24.
Going in, our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 58% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 1 Vikings.
Model confidence: PHI 58%Our line: PHI -2.6
ODDS
SPREAD
PHI -2.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
PHI -2.6
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
PHI · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
58%
PHI · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
57%
DIFFERENCE
+1%
| SOURCE | MIN | PHI | PHI WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Closing line | +127 | -141 | 57.2% |
TEAM COMPARISON2022 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 2
-0.023Net EPA / play+0.172
-0.011 (19)Offense EPA / play+0.107 (3)
+0.012 (21)Defense EPA / play-0.064 (5)
44.9% (13)Offense success %48.3% (3)
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PHI. Projected margin: 2.6. Actual: 17. Off by 14.4 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 14.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
MIN
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
PHI
Road Favorite 2-5 ATS (29%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
PHI
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2022 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@MINW7 2025 | PHI 28, MIN 22 | PHI | W |
| MIN@PHIW2 2023 | MIN 28, PHI 34 | PHI | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSMIN vs PHI
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 58% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project PHI by 2.6. The market has PHI at -2.5.
Philadelphia Eagles won, MIN 7, PHI 24. Our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 58% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Philadelphia Eagles at -2.5, meaning the book expects Philadelphia Eagles to win by 2.5 points.
In Week 2, the Minnesota Vikings were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful).
Week 2 of the 2022 season, MON 8:30 PM.
Philadelphia Eagles, PHI 28, MIN 22 in Week 7 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2022 season, Philadelphia Eagles: MIN -0.023 against PHI +0.172.
