2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CHI @ GB – Week 2 2022
CHI
GB
CHI
AWAY
10@27
GB +17
FINAL · WEEK 2
2022 SEASON
GB
HOME
TIER B
PICK: GB
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: GB 67%Projected margin: 5.2
GB
PICK SIDE
-10.5
SPREAD
5.2
PROJ MARGIN
-453
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
GB B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked GB. Projected margin: 5.2. Actual: 17. Off by 11.8 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 6.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -10.5 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -453 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.22 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CHI
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GB
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
CHI
Justin Fields
QB
296.0SEASON PPR
David Montgomery
RB
177.7SEASON PPR
Cole Kmet
TE
147.3SEASON PPR
GB
Aaron Jones
RB
248.6SEASON PPR
Aaron Rodgers
QB
239.2SEASON PPR
Allen Lazard
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@CHIW16 2025 | GB 16, CHI 22 | CHI | W |
| CHI@GBW14 2025 | CHI 21, GB 28 | GB | W |
| CHI@GBW18 2024 | CHI 24, GB 22 | GB | L |
| GB@CHIW11 2024 | GB 20, CHI 19 | GB | W |
| CHI@GBW18 2023 | CHI 9, GB 17 | GB | W |
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES