2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
MIA @ BAL – Week 2 2022
MIA
BAL
MIA
AWAY
42@38
MIA +4
FINAL · WEEK 2
2022 SEASON
BAL
HOME
TIER B
PICK: MIA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: MIA 66%Projected margin: -3.4
MIA
PICK SIDE
+3.0
SPREAD
-3.4
PROJ MARGIN
+154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
MIA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected MIA by 3.4. Actual: 4 points. The model was within 0.6 points of the real margin.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 7.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +3.0 | MIA market line | |
| MODEL ML | +154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$1.54 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
MIA
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
BAL
Road Favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)Divisional 1-4 ATS (20%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
MIA
Tyreek Hill
WR
341.2SEASON PPR
Jaylen Waddle
WR
259.2SEASON PPR
Tua Tagovailoa
QB
230.9SEASON PPR
BAL
Lamar Jackson
QB
236.1SEASON PPR
Mark Andrews
TE
190.5SEASON PPR
Devin Duvernay
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL@MIAW9 2025 | BAL 28, MIA 6 | BAL | W |
| MIA@BALW17 2023 | MIA 19, BAL 56 | BAL | W |
| BAL@MIAW10 2021 | BAL 10, MIA 22 | BAL | L |
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES