Seahawks vs 49ers – Week 2 2022
SEA
SF
SEA
AWAY
7@27
SF BY 20
FINAL · WEEK 2
2022 SEASON
Levi's Stadium · Santa Clara, CA
SF
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Seattle Seahawks 7, San Francisco 49ers 27.
Going in, our model had favored San Francisco 49ers at 60% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 1 Seahawks, 1 49ers.
Model confidence: SF 60%Our line: SF -3.3
ODDS
SPREAD
SF -8.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SF -3.3
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SF · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
60%
SF · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
78%
DIFFERENCE
-18%
| SOURCE | SEA | SF | SF WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Closing line | +318 | -379 | 77.6% |
WIN % is each book’s odds as a win chance, with the book’s cut taken out. The card above is their average.
TEAM COMPARISON2022 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 2
-0.023Net EPA / play+0.211
-0.003 (18)Offense EPA / play+0.085 (4)
+0.020 (25)Defense EPA / play-0.126 (1)
44.2% (17)Offense success %46.2% (6)
GAME NARRATIVE
SF B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SF. Projected margin: 3.3. Actual: 20. Off by 16.7 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 11.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
SEA
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
SF
Divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
SF
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2022 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF@SEAW5 2026 | SF 32, SEA 29 | SEA | L |
| SEA@SFW18 2025 | SEA 13, SF 3 | SF | L |
| SF@SEAW1 2025 | SF 17, SEA 13 | SEA | L |
| SEA@SFW11 2024 | SEA 20, SF 17 | SF | L |
| SF@SEAW6 2024 | SF 36, SEA 24 | SF | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSSEA vs SF
Our model takes San Francisco 49ers at 60% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project SF by 3.3. The market has SF at -8.5.
San Francisco 49ers won, SEA 7, SF 27. Our model had favored San Francisco 49ers at 60% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has San Francisco 49ers at -8.5, meaning the book expects San Francisco 49ers to win by 8.5 points.
In Week 2, the Seattle Seahawks were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful) and the San Francisco 49ers were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful).
Week 2 of the 2022 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
San Francisco 49ers, SF 32, SEA 29 in Week 5 of 2026.
By net EPA per play over the 2022 season, San Francisco 49ers: SEA -0.023 against SF +0.211.
