2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
TEN @ BUF – Week 2 2022
TEN
BUF
TEN
AWAY
7@41
BUF +34
FINAL · WEEK 2
2022 SEASON
BUF
HOME
TIER B
PICK: BUF
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: BUF 65%Projected margin: 4.8
BUF
PICK SIDE
-10.0
SPREAD
4.8
PROJ MARGIN
-422
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
BUF B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked BUF. Projected margin: 4.8. Actual: 34. Off by 29.2 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 24.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -10.0 | BUF market line | |
| MODEL ML | -422 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.24 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
TEN
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
BUF
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
TEN
Derrick Henry
RB
302.8SEASON PPR
Ryan Tannehill
QB
161.2SEASON PPR
Robert Woods
WR
117.7SEASON PPR
BUF
Josh Allen
QB
395.5SEASON PPR
Stefon Diggs
WR
316.6SEASON PPR
Devin Singletary
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN@BUFW7 2024 | TEN 10, BUF 34 | BUF | W |
| BUF@TENW6 2021 | BUF 31, TEN 34 | BUF | L |
| BUF@TENW5 2020 | BUF 16, TEN 42 | TEN | W |
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES