TIER CPICK: PIT
PICK LOSTATS PUSH
Model confidence: PIT 56%Projected margin: 0.5
GAME NARRATIVE
PIT C-tier pick misses. NE takes it.
MISSED
Model picked PIT but NE won. Projected margin was 0.5 -- the model overestimated by 3.5 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
PUSH
Final margin landed exactly on the spread (-3.0). Push -- no winner ATS.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NE
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
NE6 LISTEDRaekwon McMillan
LB · Thumb
QUESTIONABLE
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS