Jets vs Browns – Week 2 2022
NYJ
CLE
NYJ
AWAY
31@30
NYJ BY 1
FINAL · WEEK 2
2022 SEASON
Huntington Bank Field · Cleveland, OH
CLE
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: New York Jets 31, Cleveland Browns 30.
Going in, our model had favored Cleveland Browns at 72% win probability, and the pick lost.
Out or doubtful: 2 Jets, 1 Browns.
Model confidence: CLE 72%Our line: CLE -7.7
ODDS
SPREAD
CLE -6.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
CLE -7.7
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
CLE · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
72%
CLE · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
69%
DIFFERENCE
+3%
| SOURCE | NYJ | CLE | CLE WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Closing line | +207 | -235 | 68.8% |
WIN % is each book’s odds as a win chance, with the book’s cut taken out. The card above is their average.
TEAM COMPARISON2022 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 2
-0.036Net EPA / play-0.001
-0.087 (27)Offense EPA / play+0.012 (10)
-0.051 (8)Defense EPA / play+0.014 (22)
39.0% (30)Offense success %44.0% (19)
GAME NARRATIVE
CLE A-tier pick misses. NYJ takes it.
MISSED
Model picked CLE but NYJ won. Projected margin was 7.7, the model overestimated by 8.7 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 7.5 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
NYJ
Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)
CLE
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
CLE
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2022 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
New York JetsPASSING
Zach Wilson1688 yd · 6 TD · 7 INT
RECEIVING
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 4 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@NYJW5 2026 | CLE 12, NYJ 17 | CLE | L |
| CLE@NYJW10 2025 | CLE 20, NYJ 27 | NYJ | W |
| NYJ@CLEW17 2023 | NYJ 20, CLE 37 | CLE | W |
| CLE@NYJW16 2020 | CLE 16, NYJ 23 | CLE | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYJ vs CLE
Our model takes Cleveland Browns at 72% win probability, a Tier A pick. The margin models project CLE by 7.7. The market has CLE at -6.5.
New York Jets won, NYJ 31, CLE 30. Our model had favored Cleveland Browns at 72% win probability, and the pick lost.
The market has Cleveland Browns at -6.5, meaning the book expects Cleveland Browns to win by 6.5 points.
In Week 2, the New York Jets were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Cleveland Browns were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful).
Week 2 of the 2022 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
New York Jets, CLE 12, NYJ 17 in Week 5 of 2026.
By net EPA per play over the 2022 season, Cleveland Browns: NYJ -0.036 against CLE -0.001.
