Panthers vs Giants – Week 2 2022
CAR
NYG
CAR
AWAY
16@19
NYG BY 3
FINAL · WEEK 2
2022 SEASON
MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ
NYG
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Carolina Panthers 16, New York Giants 19.
Going in, our model had favored Carolina Panthers at 50% win probability, and the pick lost.
Out or doubtful: 1 Panthers, 6 Giants.
Model confidence: CAR 50%Our line: CAR +0.0
ODDS
SPREAD
CAR -1.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
CAR +0.0
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
CAR · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
50%
CAR · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
52%
DIFFERENCE
-2%
| SOURCE | CAR | NYG | CAR WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Closing line | -114 | +103 | 52.0% |
TEAM COMPARISON2022 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 2
-0.037Net EPA / play-0.016
-0.035 (20)Offense EPA / play+0.030 (9)
+0.003 (16)Defense EPA / play+0.046 (28)
40.7% (25)Offense success %44.9% (14)
GAME NARRATIVE
CAR C-tier pick misses. NYG takes it.
MISSED
Model picked CAR but NYG won. Projected margin was 0.0, the model overestimated by 3.0 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 4.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
CAR
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Home Underdog 5-1 ATS (83%)
NYG
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
NYG
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2022 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@CARW10 2024 | NYG 17, CAR 20 | CAR | W |
| CAR@NYGW7 2021 | CAR 3, NYG 25 | CAR | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSCAR vs NYG
Our model takes Carolina Panthers at 50% win probability, a Tier C pick. The margin models project NYG by 0.0. The market has CAR at -1.0.
New York Giants won, CAR 16, NYG 19. Our model had favored Carolina Panthers at 50% win probability, and the pick lost.
The market has Carolina Panthers at -1.0, meaning the book expects Carolina Panthers to win by 1.0 points.
In Week 2, the Carolina Panthers were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful) and the New York Giants were without 6 players (Out or Doubtful).
Week 2 of the 2022 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Carolina Panthers, NYG 17, CAR 20 in Week 10 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2022 season, New York Giants: CAR -0.037 against NYG -0.016.
