2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CAR @ NYG – Week 2 2022
CAR
NYG
CAR
AWAY
16@19
NYG +3
FINAL · WEEK 2
2022 SEASON
NYG
HOME
TIER C
PICK: CAR
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: CAR 50%Projected margin: 0.5
CAR
PICK SIDE
-1.0
SPREAD
0.5
PROJ MARGIN
-115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CAR C-tier pick misses. NYG takes it.
MISSED
Model picked CAR but NYG won. Projected margin was 0.5 -- the model overestimated by 2.5 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 4.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.0 | CAR market line | |
| MODEL ML | -115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CAR
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Home Underdog 5-1 ATS (83%)
NYG
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
CAR
DJ Moore
WR
199.1SEASON PPR
D'Onta Foreman
RB
131.0SEASON PPR
Christian McCaffrey
RB
118.0SEASON PPR
NYG
Daniel Jones
QB
289.0SEASON PPR
Saquon Barkley
RB
284.0SEASON PPR
Richie James
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@CARW10 2024 | NYG 17, CAR 20 | CAR | W |
| CAR@NYGW7 2021 | CAR 3, NYG 25 | CAR | L |
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES