2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NE @ TEN – Week 7 2025
NE
TEN
NE
AWAY
31@13
NE +18
FINAL · WEEK 7
2025 SEASON
TEN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: NE
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: NE 70%Projected margin: -4.5
NE
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
-4.5
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NE B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NE. Projected margin: 4.5. Actual: 18. Off by 13.5 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 11.5 points.
HIGH WIND
18 MPH winds at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | NE market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.39 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NE
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
TEN
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
60°F
WIND
18 MPH
WINDY
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
NE
D.Maye
QB
352.0SEASON PPR
S.Diggs
WR
210.3SEASON PPR
T.Henderson
RB
206.2SEASON PPR
TEN
C.Ward
QB
186.7SEASON PPR
T.Pollard
RB
185.8SEASON PPR
C.Dike
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE@TENW9 2024 | NE 17, TEN 20 | TEN | W |
| TEN@NEW12 2021 | TEN 13, NE 36 | NE | W |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES