2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CAR @ NYJ – Week 7 2025
CAR
NYJ
CAR
AWAY
13@6
CAR +7
FINAL · WEEK 7
2025 SEASON
NYJ
HOME
TIER A
PICK: CAR
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: CAR 71%Projected margin: -4.9
CAR
PICK SIDE
+1.5
SPREAD
-4.9
PROJ MARGIN
+124
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CAR A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected CAR by 4.9. Actual: 7 points. The model was within 2.1 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 8.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +1.5 | CAR market line | |
| MODEL ML | +124 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +124 | Won · +$1.24 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CAR
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
NYJ
Divisional 0-6 ATS (0%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
71°F
WIND
13 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
CAR
B.Young
QB
218.0SEASON PPR
R.Dowdle
RB
216.3SEASON PPR
T.McMillan
WR
213.4SEASON PPR
NYJ
B.Hall
RB
207.7SEASON PPR
J.Fields
QB
142.7SEASON PPR
G.Wilson
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ@CARW1 2021 | NYJ 14, CAR 19 | CAR | W |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES