2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYJ @ CAR – Week 1 2021
NYJ
CAR
NYJ
AWAY
14@19
CAR +5
FINAL · WEEK 1
2021 SEASON
CAR
HOME
TIER C
PICK: CAR
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: CAR 53%Projected margin: 2.5
CAR
PICK SIDE
-3.5
SPREAD
2.5
PROJ MARGIN
-165
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CAR C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected CAR by 2.5. Actual: 5 points. The model was within 2.5 points of the real margin.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 1.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.5 | CAR market line | |
| MODEL ML | -165 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -184 | Won · +$0.61 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYJ
Home Underdog 3-5 ATS (38%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
CAR
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
81°F
WIND
0 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
NYJ
Michael Carter
RB
154.4SEASON PPR
Zach Wilson
QB
151.9SEASON PPR
Elijah Moore
WR
138.2SEASON PPR
CAR
DJ Moore
WR
237.5SEASON PPR
Sam Darnold
QB
157.3SEASON PPR
Robbie Chosen
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 1
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR@NYJW7 2025 | CAR 13, NYJ 6 | CAR | W |
WEEK 1 · OTHER GAMES