ARI @ TEN – Week 1 2021

TEN B-tier pick misses. ARI takes it.

Model picked TEN but ARI won. Projected margin was 5.7 -- the model overestimated by 30.7 points.

Missed the spread by 27.5 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.