NFL WEEK 1 2021 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
16 GAMESUPDATED JUL 4, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
NoPunt went 7-9 straight up in Week 1 2021.
The most confident pick, the Baltimore Ravens at 66%, lost 27-33.
Our most confident Week 1 pick is the Baltimore Ravens over the Las Vegas Raiders, at 66% win probability.
7 of 16 games on the Week 1 slate are effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.
Before kickoff
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WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Baltimore Ravens at 66% win probability lost 27-33.
The C-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 1-5 (17%) against a 59% all-time rate.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 1 2021 pick is the Baltimore Ravens over the Las Vegas Raiders, at 66% win probability.
7 of 16 games in Week 1 2021 are effective coin flips on our model, under 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 1, 2021, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
NoPunt went 7-9 straight up in Week 1 2021.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Baltimore Ravens at 66% win probability lost 27-33. The C-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 1-5 (17%) against a 59% all-time rate.