2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LAC @ WAS – Week 1 2021
LAC
WAS
LAC
AWAY
20@16
LAC +4
FINAL · WEEK 1
2021 SEASON
WAS
HOME
TIER C
PICK: WAS
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: WAS 49%Projected margin: 0.7
WAS
PICK SIDE
-2.5
SPREAD
0.7
PROJ MARGIN
-143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
WAS C-tier pick misses. LAC takes it.
MISSED
Model picked WAS but LAC won. Projected margin was 0.7 -- the model overestimated by 4.7 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 6.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.5 | WAS market line | |
| MODEL ML | -143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +117 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LAC
No noteworthy trends
WAS
Divisional 2-3 ATS (40%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
81°F
WIND
4 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
LAC
Justin Herbert
QB
380.8SEASON PPR
Austin Ekeler
RB
343.8SEASON PPR
Keenan Allen
WR
257.8SEASON PPR
WAS
Antonio Gibson
RB
229.1SEASON PPR
Taylor Heinicke
QB
222.9SEASON PPR
Terry McLaurin
INJURY REPORTWEEK 1
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@LACW5 2025 | WAS 27, LAC 10 | LAC | L |
WEEK 1 · OTHER GAMES