2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
ATL @ SF – Week 7 2025
ATL
SF
ATL
AWAY
10@20
SF +10
FINAL · WEEK 7
2025 SEASON
SF
HOME
TIER C
PICK: SF
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: SF 59%Projected margin: 1.0
SF
PICK SIDE
-1.5
SPREAD
1.0
PROJ MARGIN
-124
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SF C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SF. Projected margin: 1.0. Actual: 10. Off by 9.0 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 8.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.5 | SF market line | |
| MODEL ML | -124 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.81 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ATL
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
SF
Road Favorite 6-0 ATS (100%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
74°F
WIND
5 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
ATL
B.Robinson
RB
370.8SEASON PPR
K.Pitts
TE
210.8SEASON PPR
D.London
WR
201.9SEASON PPR
SF
C.McCaffrey
RB
416.6SEASON PPR
B.Purdy
QB
177.4SEASON PPR
J.Jennings
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF@ATLW6 2022 | SF 14, ATL 28 | SF | L |
| ATL@SFW15 2021 | ATL 13, SF 31 | SF | W |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES