2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LAC @ TEN – Week 2 2023
LAC
TEN
LAC
AWAY
24@27
TEN +3
FINAL · WEEK 2
2023 SEASON
TEN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: LAC
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: LAC 71%Projected margin: -4.3
LAC
PICK SIDE
-2.5
SPREAD
-4.3
PROJ MARGIN
-143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LAC B-tier pick misses. TEN takes it.
MISSED
Model picked LAC but TEN won. Projected margin was 4.3 -- the model overestimated by 7.3 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 9 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 5.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.5 | LAC market line | |
| MODEL ML | -143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -142 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LAC
Divisional 0-5 ATS (0%)
TEN
Home Underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
LAC
Keenan Allen
WR
278.9SEASON PPR
Justin Herbert
QB
234.2SEASON PPR
Austin Ekeler
RB
185.4SEASON PPR
TEN
Derrick Henry
RB
246.7SEASON PPR
DeAndre Hopkins
WR
223.6SEASON PPR
Tyjae Spears
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC@TENW9 2025 | LAC 27, TEN 20 | LAC | W |
| TEN@LACW10 2024 | TEN 17, LAC 27 | LAC | W |
| TEN@LACW15 2022 | TEN 14, LAC 17 | LAC | W |
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES