2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
TEN @ LAC – Week 10 2024
TEN
LAC
TEN
AWAY
17@27
LAC +10
FINAL · WEEK 10
2024 SEASON
LAC
HOME
TIER B
PICK: LAC
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: LAC 66%Projected margin: 4.3
LAC
PICK SIDE
-8.0
SPREAD
4.3
PROJ MARGIN
-316
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LAC B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked LAC. Projected margin: 4.3. Actual: 10. Off by 5.7 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 2.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -8.0 | LAC market line | |
| MODEL ML | -316 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -380 | Won · +$0.32 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
TEN
divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
LAC
divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)road_favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)Divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)Road Favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
TEN
T.Pollard
RB
200.7SEASON PPR
C.Ridley
WR
199.2SEASON PPR
N.Westbrook-Ikhine
WR
135.7SEASON PPR
LAC
J.Herbert
QB
285.4SEASON PPR
L.McConkey
WR
240.9SEASON PPR
J.Dobbins
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC@TENW9 2025 | LAC 27, TEN 20 | LAC | W |
| LAC@TENW2 2023 | LAC 24, TEN 27 | LAC | L |
| TEN@LACW15 2022 | TEN 14, LAC 17 | LAC | W |
WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES