Giants vs Cardinals – Week 2 2023
NYG
ARI
NYG
AWAY
31@28
NYG BY 3
FINAL · WEEK 2
2023 SEASON
State Farm Stadium · Glendale, AZ
ARI
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: New York Giants 31, Arizona Cardinals 28.
Going in, our model had favored New York Giants at 62% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 2 Giants, 2 Cardinals.
Model confidence: NYG 62%Our line: NYG -4.2
ODDS
SPREAD
NYG -5.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
NYG -4.2
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
NYG · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
62%
NYG · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
67%
DIFFERENCE
-5%
| SOURCE | NYG | ARI | NYG WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Closing line | -225 | +185 | 67.1% |
WIN % is each book’s odds as a win chance, with the book’s cut taken out. The card above is their average.
TEAM COMPARISON2023 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 2
-0.155Net EPA / play-0.157
-0.174 (29)Offense EPA / play-0.071 (22)
-0.019 (19)Defense EPA / play+0.085 (32)
37.9% (30)Offense success %40.5% (25)
GAME NARRATIVE
NYG B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected NYG by 4.2. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 1.2 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 2.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
NYG
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
ARI
Home Underdog 5-3 ATS (63%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
NYG
223.2 SEASON PPR
Darius Slayton
WR
151.0 SEASON PPR
133.2 SEASON PPR
ARI
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2023 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI@NYGW4 2026 | ARI 24, NYG 36 | NYG | W |
| ARI@NYGW14 2020 | ARI 26, NYG 7 | NYG | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYG vs ARI
Our model takes New York Giants at 62% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project NYG by 4.2. The market has NYG at -5.0.
New York Giants won, NYG 31, ARI 28. Our model had favored New York Giants at 62% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has New York Giants at -5.0, meaning the book expects New York Giants to win by 5.0 points.
In Week 2, the New York Giants were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Arizona Cardinals were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful).
Week 2 of the 2023 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
New York Giants, ARI 24, NYG 36 in Week 4 of 2026.
By net EPA per play over the 2023 season, New York Giants: NYG -0.155 against ARI -0.157.
