Cardinals vs Giants – Week 14 2020
ARI
NYG
ARI
AWAY
26@7
ARI BY 19
FINAL · WEEK 14
2020 SEASON
MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ
NYG
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Arizona Cardinals 26, New York Giants 7.
Going in, our model had favored New York Giants at 54% win probability, and the pick lost.
Out or doubtful: 2 Cardinals, 1 Giants.
Model confidence: NYG 54%Our line: NYG -1.4
ODDS
SPREAD
NYG +3.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
NYG -1.4
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
NYG · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
54%
TEAM COMPARISON2020 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 14
+0.031Net EPA / play-0.086
+0.038 (14)Offense EPA / play-0.056 (27)
+0.007 (11)Defense EPA / play+0.031 (16)
45.4% (18)Offense success %41.6% (27)
GAME NARRATIVE
NYG C-tier pick misses. ARI takes it.
MISSED
Model picked NYG but ARI won. Projected margin was 1.4, the model overestimated by 20.4 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 16.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
ARI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
NYG
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
59°F
WIND
15 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
ARI
Kyler Murray
QB
378.7 SEASON PPR
DeAndre Hopkins
WR
287.8 SEASON PPR
Kenyan Drake
RB
192.2 SEASON PPR
NYG
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2020 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Arizona CardinalsPASSING
Kyler Murray3971 yd · 26 TD · 12 INT
RUSHING
Kenyan Drake955 yd · 10 TD
Kyler Murray819 yd · 11 TD
Chase Edmonds448 yd · 1 TD
RECEIVING
DeAndre Hopkins115 rec · 1407 yd · 6 TD
INJURY REPORTWEEK 14
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI@NYGW4 2026 | ARI 24, NYG 36 | NYG | W |
| NYG@ARIW2 2023 | NYG 31, ARI 28 | NYG | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSARI vs NYG
Our model takes New York Giants at 54% win probability, a Tier C pick. The margin models project NYG by 1.4. The market has NYG at +3.0.
Arizona Cardinals won, ARI 26, NYG 7. Our model had favored New York Giants at 54% win probability, and the pick lost.
The market has New York Giants at +3.0, meaning the book expects New York Giants to win by 3.0 points.
In Week 14, the Arizona Cardinals were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful) and the New York Giants were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 47.0 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.5, 0.5 below the market.
Week 14 of the 2020 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
New York Giants, ARI 24, NYG 36 in Week 4 of 2026.
By net EPA per play over the 2020 season, Arizona Cardinals: ARI +0.031 against NYG -0.086.
