ARI @ NYG – Week 14 2020

NYG C-tier pick misses. ARI takes it.

Model picked NYG but ARI won. Projected margin was 0.3 -- the model overestimated by 19.3 points.

Missed the spread by 16.0 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.