2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NO @ PHI – Week 14 2020
NO
PHI
NO
AWAY
21@24
PHI +3
FINAL · WEEK 14
2020 SEASON
PHI
HOME
TIER S
PICK: NO
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: NO 74%Projected margin: -11.5
NO
PICK SIDE
-7.5
SPREAD
-11.5
PROJ MARGIN
-294
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NO S-tier pick misses. PHI takes it.
MISSED
Model picked NO but PHI won. Projected margin was 11.5 -- the model overestimated by 14.5 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 10.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.5 | NO market line | |
| MODEL ML | -294 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -335 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NO
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
PHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
57°F
WIND
10 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
NO
Alvin Kamara
RB
377.8SEASON PPR
Drew Brees
QB
209.5SEASON PPR
Emmanuel Sanders
WR
164.8SEASON PPR
PHI
Carson Wentz
QB
198.4SEASON PPR
Miles Sanders
RB
170.4SEASON PPR
Greg Ward
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 14
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@NOW3 2024 | PHI 15, NO 12 | NO | L |
| NO@PHIW17 2022 | NO 20, PHI 10 | PHI | L |
| NO@PHIW11 2021 | NO 29, PHI 40 | NO | L |
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES