MIN @ TB – Week 14 2020

MIN C-tier pick misses. TB takes it.

Model picked MIN but TB won. Projected margin was 0.9 -- the model overestimated by 12.9 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 5.0 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.