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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

MIN

AWAY

20@17

TB +3

FINAL · WEEK 1

2023 SEASON

MIN

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BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+4.0		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

DOME

CLIMATE CONTROLLED

WIN PROBABILITY

INJURY REPORTWEEK 1

TB2 LISTED

Calijah Kancey

DT · Calf

QUESTIONABLE

Cody Mauch

G · Back

QUESTIONABLE

MIN1 LISTED

Marcus Davenport

DE · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
MIN@TBW14 2020	MIN 14, TB 26

FULL COMPARISON →

TB ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

MIN ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 1 · OTHER GAMES

HOU@BAL

9-25

GB@CHI

38-20

BUF@NYJ

16-22

DET@KC

21-20

LA@SEA

30-13

ARI@WAS

16-20

TEN@NO

15-16

← WEEK 1 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

70.1%

Kirk CousinsMIN

TIME TO THROW

2.47s

Baker MayfieldTB

SEPARATION

4.0 yds

Justin JeffersonMIN

RUSH EFFICIENCY

4.3

Alexander MattisonMIN

AGGRESSIVENESS

13.6%

Kirk CousinsMIN

AVG YAC

7.8 yds

Justin JeffersonMIN

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

MIN ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

15.8%

DROP %

3.4%

PRESSURE %

29.6%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.5

YAC/ATT

1.1

BROKEN TACKLES

13

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

76.3%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

89.0

MISSED TACKLE %

9.7%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2023 SEASON

TB ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

13.1%

DROP %

9.9%

PRESSURE %

16.0%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.6

YAC/ATT

1.6

BROKEN TACKLES

23

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

73.4%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

88.7

MISSED TACKLE %

8.1%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2023 SEASON

TB @ MIN – Week 1 2023