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TB @ MIN · Week 1 2023 · NoPunt
2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
TB @ MIN – Week 1 2023
TB
MIN
TB
AWAY
20
@
17
TB +3
FINAL · WEEK 1
2023 SEASON
MIN
HOME
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BETTING LINE
FIELD
VALUE
NOTES
SPREAD
+4.0
Market line
LIVE ML
—
Last observed market ML
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
MIN
TB
INJURY REPORT
WEEK 1
TB
2 LISTED
Calijah Kancey
DT · Calf
QUESTIONABLE
Cody Mauch
G · Back
QUESTIONABLE
MIN
1 LISTED
Marcus Davenport
DE · Ankle
QUESTIONABLE
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
LAST 1 MEETINGS
GAME
SCORE
MIN
@
TB
W14 2020
MIN 14, TB 26
FULL COMPARISON →
TB ANALYTICS
EPA, coaching, picks
MIN ANALYTICS
EPA, coaching, picks
VS
COMPARE
WEEK 1 · OTHER GAMES
HOU
@
BAL
9-25
GB
@
CHI
38-20
BUF
@
NYJ
16-22
DET
@
KC
21-20
LA
@
SEA
30-13
ARI
@
WAS
16-20
TEN
@
NO
15-16
← WEEK 1 PICKS
FULL RESULTS LEDGER →
KICKOFF
TB 100%
HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR
MIA
@
LAC
36-34
SF
@
PIT
30-7
PHI
@
NE
25-20
DAL
@
NYG
40-0
CIN
@
CLE
3-24
JAX
@
IND
31-21
CAR
@
ATL
10-24
LV
@
DEN
17-16
MIN SCHEME RATES
17 GAMES
PLAY ACTION
33.0%
BLITZ RATE
31.1%
MOTION
38.4%
RPO
2.8%
SCREEN
10.4%
NO HUDDLE
11.3%
AVG PASS RUSHERS
4.3
SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2023 SEASON
TB SCHEME RATES
19 GAMES
PLAY ACTION
25.2%
BLITZ RATE
18.1%
MOTION
31.9%
RPO
4.6%
SCREEN
8.6%
NO HUDDLE
6.9%
AVG PASS RUSHERS
4.2
SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2023 SEASON
NEXT GEN STATS
EXP COMP %
70.1%
Kirk Cousins
MIN
TIME TO THROW
2.47s
Baker Mayfield
TB
SEPARATION
4.0 yds
Justin Jefferson
MIN
RUSH EFFICIENCY
4.3
Alexander Mattison
MIN
AGGRESSIVENESS
13.6%
Kirk Cousins
MIN
AVG YAC
7.8 yds
Justin Jefferson
MIN
GREEN
= ELITE VS LEAGUE
SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS
MIN ADVANCED STATS
PASSING
BAD THROW %
15.8%
DROP %
3.4%
PRESSURE %
29.6%
RUSHING
YBC/ATT
2.5
YAC/ATT
1.1
BROKEN TACKLES
13
DEFENSE
COMP% ALLOWED
76.3%
PASSER RTG ALLOWED
89.0
MISSED TACKLE %
9.7%
SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2023 SEASON
TB ADVANCED STATS
PASSING
BAD THROW %
13.1%
DROP %
9.9%
PRESSURE %
16.0%
RUSHING
YBC/ATT
2.6
YAC/ATT
1.6
BROKEN TACKLES
23
DEFENSE
COMP% ALLOWED
73.4%
PASSER RTG ALLOWED
88.7
MISSED TACKLE %
8.1%
SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2023 SEASON