TB @ MIN – Week 1 2023

MIN C-tier pick misses. TB takes it.

Model picked MIN but TB won. Projected margin was 2.7 -- the model overestimated by 5.7 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 9 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 7.0 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.