DET @ KC – Week 1 2023

KC B-tier pick misses. DET takes it.

Model picked KC but DET won. Projected margin was 6.1 -- the model overestimated by 7.1 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 9 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 5.0 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.