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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

HOU

BAL

HOU

AWAY

9@25

BAL +16

FINAL · WEEK 1

2023 SEASON

BAL

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THE PICK FOR THIS GAME IS LOCKED

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BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+9.5		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

OUTDOOR

WIN PROBABILITY

INJURY REPORTWEEK 1

HOU4 LISTED

Jimmie Ward

S · Hip

OUT

Blake Cashman

LB · Hamstring

OUT

John Metchie

WR · Hamstring

OUT

Dare Ogunbowale

RB · Hamstring

QUESTIONABLE

BAL2 LISTED

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
HOU@BALW5 2025	HOU 44, BAL 10
BAL@HOUW17 2024	BAL 31, HOU 2
BAL@HOUW2 2020	—

FULL COMPARISON →

HOU ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

BAL ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 1 · OTHER GAMES

GB@CHI

38-20

BUF@NYJ

16-22

DET@KC

21-20

LA@SEA

30-13

ARI@WAS

16-20

TEN@NO

15-16

MIA@LAC

36-34

← WEEK 1 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

69.2%

Lamar JacksonBAL

TIME TO THROW

2.61s

Lamar JacksonBAL

SEPARATION

3.5 yds

Zay FlowersBAL

RUSH EFFICIENCY

4.6

Dameon PierceHOU

AGGRESSIVENESS

18.2%

C.J. StroudHOU

AVG YAC

5.9 yds

Zay FlowersBAL

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

HOU ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

15.5%

DROP %

3.3%

PRESSURE %

24.9%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.5

YAC/ATT

1.1

BROKEN TACKLES

31

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

73.1%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

88.4

MISSED TACKLE %

13.3%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2023 SEASON

BAL ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

19.2%

DROP %

4.6%

PRESSURE %

14.3%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

3.5

YAC/ATT

1.8

BROKEN TACKLES

51

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

63.4%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

76.9

MISSED TACKLE %

10.0%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2023 SEASON

HOU @ BAL – Week 1 2023