Cardinals vs Giants – Week 4 2026
ARI
NYG
ARI
AWAY
24@36
NYG BY 12
FINAL · WEEK 4
2026 SEASON
MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ
NYG
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Arizona Cardinals 24, New York Giants 36.
Going in, our model had favored New York Giants at 69% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 1 Cardinals.
Model confidence: NYG 69%Our line: NYG -6.7
ODDS
SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 4
-0.142Net EPA / play-0.054
-0.018 (16)Offense EPA / play-0.019 (17)
+0.124 (29)Defense EPA / play+0.036 (22)
45.9% (12)Offense success %42.1% (20)
GAME NARRATIVE
NYG B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NYG. Projected margin: 6.7. Actual: 12. Off by 5.3 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 14.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
63°F
WIND
9 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
CLOSING LINE VALUE
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 4
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@ARIW2 2023 | NYG 31, ARI 28 | NYG | W |
| ARI@NYGW14 2020 | ARI 26, NYG 7 | NYG | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 4 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSARI vs NYG
Our model takes New York Giants at 69% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project NYG by 6.7. The market has NYG at +2.5.
New York Giants won, ARI 24, NYG 36. Our model had favored New York Giants at 69% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has New York Giants at +2.5, meaning the book expects New York Giants to win by 2.5 points.
In Week 4, the Arizona Cardinals were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 44.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.3, 1.8 above the market, which our board calls an over.
Week 4 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
New York Giants, NYG 31, ARI 28 in Week 2 of 2023.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, New York Giants: ARI -0.142 against NYG -0.054.
