TIER BPICK: BUF
PICK WONATS PUSH
Model confidence: BUF 67%Projected margin: -4.6
GAME NARRATIVE
BUF B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected BUF by 4.6. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 1.6 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
PUSH
Final margin landed exactly on the spread (-3.0). Push -- no winner ATS.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
BUF
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
BAL
Road Favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)Divisional 1-4 ATS (20%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 4
BUF10 LISTEDJordan Phillips
DT · Hamstring
OUT
Christian Benford
CB · Hand
OUT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS