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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

LAC

AWAY

40@17

TB +23

FINAL · WEEK 15

2024 SEASON

LAC

HOME

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TEAM COMPARISON

TB	METRIC	LAC
+0.108	NET EPA/PLAY	+0.075
+0.129	OFF EPA/PLAY	+0.011
+0.021	DEF EPA/PLAY	-0.064
522	POINTS FOR	414
408	POINTS AGAINST	333
56.0%	PASS RATE	56.1%
100.0%	RED ZONE TD%	81.8%
14.3%	4TH DOWN GO%	12.7%

TBANALYTICS →LACANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+3.0		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

46.1

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

TB

divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)

LAC

divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)road_favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

DOME

CLIMATE CONTROLLED

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

TB

B.Mayfield

QB

365.8PPR

B.Irving

RB

244.4PPR

M.Evans

WR

240.4PPR

LAC

J.Herbert

QB

285.4PPR

L.McConkey

WR

240.9PPR

J.Dobbins

RB

191.8PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 15

TB11 LISTED

K.J. Britt

LB · Ankle

OUT

Markees Watts

LB · Knee

OUT

Mike Edwards

S · Hamstring

OUT

Antoine Winfield

S · Knee

OUT

Kameron Johnson

WR · Ankle

OUT

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
LAC@TBW4 2020	LAC 31, TB 38

FULL COMPARISON →

TB ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

LAC ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES

NE@ARI

17-30

KC@CLE

21-7

IND@DEN

13-31

PIT@PHI

13-27

BUF@DET

48-42

DAL@CAR

30-14

GB@SEA

30-13

← WEEK 15 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

Bucky Irving

RB · Back

QUESTIONABLE

J.J. Russell

LB · Hamstring

QUESTIONABLE

Joe Tryon

LB · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

Sterling Shepard

WR · Foot

QUESTIONABLE

Christian Izien

S · Groin

QUESTIONABLE

Josh Hayes

CB · Hamstring

QUESTIONABLE

LAC4 LISTED

Will Dissly

TE · Shoulder

OUT

Jalen Reagor

WR · Finger

OUT

Denzel Perryman

LB · Groin

QUESTIONABLE

Ladd McConkey

WR · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

TB SCHEME RATES

18 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

23.1%

BLITZ RATE

30.6%

MOTION

39.9%

RPO

1.2%

SCREEN

12.8%

NO HUDDLE

4.6%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.2

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

LAC SCHEME RATES

18 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

35.9%

BLITZ RATE

28.3%

MOTION

40.6%

RPO

1.3%

SCREEN

7.4%

NO HUDDLE

3.3%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.1

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

66.3%

Baker MayfieldTB

TIME TO THROW

2.71s

Justin HerbertLAC

SEPARATION

4.4 yds

Stone SmarttLAC

RUSH EFFICIENCY

2.7

Bucky IrvingTB

AGGRESSIVENESS

6.1%

Justin HerbertLAC

AVG YAC

7.1 yds

Mike EvansTB

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

LAC ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

13.5%

DROP %

7.7%

PRESSURE %

21.1%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

1.9

YAC/ATT

1.6

BROKEN TACKLES

40

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

66.6%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

83.8

MISSED TACKLE %

9.3%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

TB ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

10.1%

DROP %

4.6%

PRESSURE %

15.4%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

3.0

YAC/ATT

2.2

BROKEN TACKLES

35

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

70.9%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

89.1

MISSED TACKLE %

8.9%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

TB @ LAC – Week 15 2024