2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
ATL @ LV – Week 15 2024
ATL
LV
ATL
AWAY
15@9
ATL +6
FINAL · WEEK 15
2024 SEASON
LV
HOME
TIER B
PICK: ATL
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: ATL 65%Projected margin: -3.0
ATL
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
-3.0
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
ATL B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected ATL by 3.0. Actual: 6 points. The model was within 3.0 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
BAD BEAT
Missed the spread by just 0.5 points -- a bad-beat loss.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | ATL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -345 | Won · +$0.39 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ATL
No noteworthy trends
LV
divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
ATL
B.Robinson
RB
341.7SEASON PPR
D.London
WR
280.8SEASON PPR
D.Mooney
WR
193.2SEASON PPR
LV
B.Bowers
TE
262.7SEASON PPR
J.Meyers
WR
218.0SEASON PPR
A.Mattison
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LV@ATLW12 2020 | LV 6, ATL 43 | LV | L |
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES