2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PIT @ PHI – Week 15 2024
PIT
PHI
PIT
AWAY
13@27
PHI +14
FINAL · WEEK 15
2024 SEASON
PHI
HOME
TIER B
PICK: PHI
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: PHI 66%Projected margin: 4.0
PHI
PICK SIDE
-5.5
SPREAD
4.0
PROJ MARGIN
-221
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PHI. Projected margin: 4.0. Actual: 14. Off by 10.0 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 8.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -5.5 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -221 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -265 | Won · +$0.45 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PIT
divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
PHI
divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)road_favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Road Favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
37°F
WIND
5 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
PIT
N.Harris
RB
204.6SEASON PPR
R.Wilson
QB
172.8SEASON PPR
P.Freiermuth
TE
168.3SEASON PPR
PHI
S.Barkley
RB
355.3SEASON PPR
J.Hurts
QB
315.1SEASON PPR
A.Brown
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT@PHIW8 2022 | PIT 13, PHI 35 | PHI | W |
| PHI@PITW5 2020 | PHI 29, PIT 38 | PIT | W |
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES