NoPunt -- Every Pick on the Record

2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

BUF

DET

BUF

AWAY

48@42

BUF +6

FINAL · WEEK 15

2024 SEASON

DET

HOME

PRO PICK

THE PICK FOR THIS GAME IS LOCKED

Our team, side, tier, confidence and projected margin for BUF @ DET are part of NoPunt Pro. One free Pick of the Week is open to everyone — the rest unlock with Pro.

UNLOCK WITH NOPUNT PRO →

TEAM COMPARISON

BUF	METRIC	DET
+0.181	NET EPA/PLAY	+0.203
+0.190	OFF EPA/PLAY	+0.165
+0.009	DEF EPA/PLAY	-0.039
612	POINTS FOR	595
432	POINTS AGAINST	387
51.8%	PASS RATE	53.6%
95.5%	RED ZONE TD%	100.0%
24.6%	4TH DOWN GO%	32.7%

BUFANALYTICS →DETANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+2.5		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

47.1

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

BUF

road_favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)

DET

road_favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)divisional 4-1 ATS (80%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

DOME

CLIMATE CONTROLLED

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

BUF

J.Allen

QB

372.3PPR

J.Cook

RB

266.7PPR

K.Shakir

WR

182.5PPR

DET

J.Gibbs

RB

354.9PPR

J.Goff

QB

324.5PPR

A.St. Brown

WR

316.2PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 15

BUF9 LISTED

Rasul Douglas

CB · Knee

OUT

Dawuane Smoot

DE · Wrist

QUESTIONABLE

Taylor Rapp

S · Neck

QUESTIONABLE

Casey Toohill

DE · Ribs

QUESTIONABLE

Quintin Morris

TE · Shoulder

QUESTIONABLE

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
BUF@DETW12 2022	BUF 28, DET 25

FULL COMPARISON →

BUF ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

DET ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES

NE@ARI

17-30

KC@CLE

21-7

IND@DEN

13-31

PIT@PHI

13-27

DAL@CAR

30-14

GB@SEA

30-13

CIN@TEN

37-27

← WEEK 15 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

Damar Hamlin

S · Back

QUESTIONABLE

Baylon Spector

LB · Calf

QUESTIONABLE

Dalton Kincaid

TE · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Tylan Grable

T · Groin

QUESTIONABLE

DET1 LISTED

Trevor Nowaske

LB · Concussion

OUT

BUF SCHEME RATES

20 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

22.4%

BLITZ RATE

28.2%

MOTION

41.8%

RPO

4.7%

SCREEN

12.6%

NO HUDDLE

6.2%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

65.4%

Jared GoffDET

TIME TO THROW

2.90s

Jared GoffDET

SEPARATION

4.3 yds

Dalton KincaidBUF

RUSH EFFICIENCY

2.7

James CookBUF

AGGRESSIVENESS

23.5%

Josh AllenBUF

AVG YAC

6.6 yds

Sam LaPortaDET

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

DET ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

9.6%

DROP %

2.6%

PRESSURE %

18.0%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

3.2

YAC/ATT

1.5

BROKEN TACKLES

43

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

65.3%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

83.8

MISSED TACKLE %

11.1%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

DET SCHEME RATES

18 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

37.2%

BLITZ RATE

27.6%

MOTION

47.5%

RPO

2.0%

SCREEN

11.9%

NO HUDDLE

3.7%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

BUF ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

16.3%

DROP %

3.6%

PRESSURE %

13.6%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.2

YAC/ATT

1.8

BROKEN TACKLES

39

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

69.7%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

88.1

MISSED TACKLE %

9.5%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

BUF @ DET – Week 15 2024