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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

ARI

AWAY

17@30

ARI +13

FINAL · WEEK 15

2024 SEASON

ARI

HOME

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THE PICK FOR THIS GAME IS LOCKED

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TEAM COMPARISON

NE	METRIC	ARI
-0.153	NET EPA/PLAY	+0.011
-0.083	OFF EPA/PLAY	+0.067
+0.070	DEF EPA/PLAY	+0.056
289	POINTS FOR	400
417	POINTS AGAINST	379
57.1%	PASS RATE	55.5%
66.7%	RED ZONE TD%	76.2%
19.2%	4TH DOWN GO%	17.5%

NEANALYTICS →ARIANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+6.0		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

45.7

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

NE

No noteworthy trends

ARI

divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

DOME

CLIMATE CONTROLLED

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

NE

D.Maye

QB

177.1PPR

R.Stevenson

RB

175.9PPR

D.Douglas

WR

147.7PPR

ARI

K.Murray

QB

297.2PPR

J.Conner

RB

253.8PPR

T.McBride

TE

243.8PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 15

NE8 LISTED

Caedan Wallace

T · Ankle

OUT

Jaquelin Roy

DT · Foot

OUT

Javon Baker

WR · Concussion

OUT

Cole Strange

G · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Kyle Dugger

S · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
NE@ARIW14 2022	NE 27, ARI 13
ARI@NEW12 2020	ARI 17, NE 20

FULL COMPARISON →

NE ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

ARI ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES

KC@CLE

21-7

IND@DEN

13-31

PIT@PHI

13-27

BUF@DET

48-42

DAL@CAR

30-14

GB@SEA

30-13

CIN@TEN

37-27

← WEEK 15 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

Christian Gonzalez

CB · Shoulder

QUESTIONABLE

Christian Barmore

DT · Not injury related - other

QUESTIONABLE

Vederian Lowe

T · Shoulder

QUESTIONABLE

ARI6 LISTED

Blake Gillikin

P · Right Foot

OUT

Emari Demercado

RB · Back

OUT

Elijah Jones

CB · Ankle

OUT

Jonah Williams

T · Illness

QUESTIONABLE

Roy Lopez

DT · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

Naquan Jones

DT · Shoulder

QUESTIONABLE

NE SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

21.4%

BLITZ RATE

29.4%

MOTION

31.1%

RPO

5.3%

SCREEN

10.8%

NO HUDDLE

8.6%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

ARI SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

31.4%

BLITZ RATE

25.6%

MOTION

28.8%

RPO

1.1%

SCREEN

8.3%

NO HUDDLE

8.6%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.1

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

72.8%

Drake MayeNE

TIME TO THROW

2.63s

Drake MayeNE

SEPARATION

4.1 yds

Kayshon BoutteNE

RUSH EFFICIENCY

2.9

James ConnerARI

AGGRESSIVENESS

16.7%

Kyler MurrayARI

AVG YAC

11.8 yds

Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

ARI ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

11.2%

DROP %

3.4%

PRESSURE %

14.2%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

3.5

YAC/ATT

2.3

BROKEN TACKLES

33

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

76.3%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

92.0

MISSED TACKLE %

11.0%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

NE ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

26.2%

DROP %

5.1%

PRESSURE %

22.9%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.8

YAC/ATT

1.7

BROKEN TACKLES

28

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

70.6%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

87.6

MISSED TACKLE %

8.7%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

NE @ ARI – Week 15 2024