2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
WAS @ NO – Week 15 2024
WAS
NO
WAS
AWAY
20@19
WAS +1
FINAL · WEEK 15
2024 SEASON
NO
HOME
TIER C
PICK: WAS
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: WAS 59%Projected margin: -0.1
WAS
PICK SIDE
-7.5
SPREAD
-0.1
PROJ MARGIN
-294
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
WAS C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected WAS by 0.1. Actual: 1 points. The model was within 0.9 points of the real margin.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 6.5 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.5 | WAS market line | |
| MODEL ML | -294 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -375 | Won · +$0.34 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
WAS
No noteworthy trends
NO
divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
WAS
J.Daniels
QB
355.8SEASON PPR
T.McLaurin
WR
267.8SEASON PPR
Z.Ertz
TE
177.4SEASON PPR
NO
A.Kamara
RB
265.3SEASON PPR
D.Carr
QB
150.9SEASON PPR
J.Johnson
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NO@WASW5 2021 | NO 33, WAS 22 | NO | W |
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES